Another late post.
1:20 Redcar –
Not that much value going on with the favourites but both respected. Mahogani looks straightforward and ran well last time out at Chepstow. Whether he can defy the penalty is open to debate. I wouldn’t knock Sir Mark Prescott’s charge but Flippin Eck, trained by Tim Easterby, may be a fair challenger. The form of his Thirsk run is working out well. Something of a springer in the market that day, it may be telling connection made this debut at Class 2. I really can’t see much value with these two unless one drifts to the extreme.
Benzema is a good-looking colt who may appreciate this step up in distance but a horse that needs to improve.
That’s the question.
1:40 Newmarket –
This looks a competitive heat. The Yarmouth duo are at the head of the market. I can see Find and Zechariah running big races. Both look progressive type and given very easy introductions as if they would be primed for their second start. To be fair they ran similar races. Find looked to travel well and tired in the closing stages. His backers today would be hoping that was due to a lack of fitness. Martyn Meade’s Zechariah ran on well at the seaside track and perhaps, in ways, ran a better race in that he was running to the line.
Lusail has the burden of a win penalty and that may be enough to slow him down. However, he has won and contested a class race at Pontefract and was far from disgraced. A drifter in the market, there may be some value at each-way odds.
Desert Miracle is worth a mention as Darryll Holland had earmarked this colt to run at Royal Ascot. A 100/1 shot with the bookies, perhaps this is a sign of a horse with little hope. On the other side of the coin, there may be a chance this two-year-old is backed and ready to roll.
I like the two favourite and would probably be betting on Find if available at each-way odds. However, that is very unlikely to happen and I would respect the challenge of Martyn Meade’s Zechariah. In addition, Lusail has proven he can win a race, while Noble Truth cost of a million euros.
Desert Miracle may be worth a small each-way bet simply because I’d look a bit of a nutter if it went unbacked at huge odds.
Author: Jason Coote